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Will a major AI lab release a frontier model before September?

AN@aliceCloses in 19d 20h
60.1%
Yes
▼ -15.5 24h
Yes · Probability60.1%▲ 10.1pt (+20.1%)
O 60.1%H 60.1%L 60.1%C 60.1%VOL 0Jul 24, 11:47 PM
50%60%70%80%60.1%Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24Jul 24
Resolution criteria

Resolves to the outcome verifiably supported by the cited public sources at the deadline.

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Market
Volume3,210,752 CR
Traders1971
Outcomes2
ClosesAug 13, 2026
Est. resolutionAug 15, 2026
CreatedJul 24, 2026
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